State Dept. Estimates Visa Number Availability in the Coming Months

March 17, 2016

By Immigration Group

This article was prepared with the assistance of ABIL, the Alliance of Business Immigration Lawyers, of which Laura Danielson is an active member.

The Department of State’s Visa Bulletin for March 2016 includes estimates of visa number availability (potential monthly movement) in the coming months. Estimates for the employment-based categories include:

Employment First: Current

Employment Second:

Worldwide: Current

China: Up to five months

India: Up to three months

Employment Third:

Worldwide: The rapid forward movement of this cut-off date during the past 10 months should generate a significant amount of demand for numbers. When such demand begins to materialize, it will be necessary to limit movement of this cut-off date.

China: Up to five months

India: Up to one month

Mexico: Will remain at the Worldwide date

Philippines: Up to four months

Employment Fourth: Current for most countries

Employment Fifth: This category will remain “Current” for most countries.

China-mainland born: Slow forward movement

The above projections for the employment categories indicate what is likely to happen on a monthly basis through June based on current applicant demand patterns, the Visa Bulletin explains. Recent trends in cut-off date movements are not guaranteed for the future, and it is possible that “corrective” action may be required to maintain number use within the applicable annual limits. The Visa Bulletin notes that determinations of the actual monthly cut-off dates are subject to fluctuations in applicant demand and a number of other variables.